Symposium: Realignment or dealignment? Survey perspectives on the 2022 Federal Election

Symposium: Realignment or dealignment? Survey perspectives on the 2022 Federal Election
Photo by Jon Tyson on Unsplash

By ANU Centre of Social Research and Methods

About the Symposium

The May 2022 Election led to a change in government for the first time since 2013, with a slim majority for the new Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s Labor Party. The historically low vote for the two major parties suggests that this election may have ushered in a major realignment in Australian voting, with the election of six ‘Teal’ Independents in previously staunch Liberal Party seats, a dramatic increase in the number of Greens MPs concentrated in Brisbane, and the lowest primary vote ever for an incoming government.

Immediately after the election, the Social Research Centre on behalf of the ANU Centre for Social Research and Methods and the School of Politics and International Relations began collection of a combined ANUpoll/Comparative Study of Electoral Systems survey. Using the probability-based Life in Australia panel, this survey has detailed information on around 3,500 adult Australians on who they voted for, their views on policy and institutions, leaders, the pandemic and a range of demographic, socioeconomic, and political attitudes. The vast majority of respondents who undertook the May 2022 survey also undertook the April 2022 ANUpoll, meaning information is available on voting intentions and policy attitudes at the start of the election campaign.

In this symposium, leading social researchers, political scientists, and policy analysts will utilise this and other data to convey an in-depth understanding of the outcome of the 2022 election. The presentations will examine the factors that influenced people’s vote, the changing political and policy opinions held by the Australian public, and what these changes mean for the incoming government, opposition, minor parties, and independents. The May 2022 data will also be placed in the context of long-term trends in voting behaviour and attitudes.

Opening speech

Professor Mark Kenny - Australian Studies Institute

Confirmed speakers (additional speakers to be announced)

Professor Nicholas Biddle

Intifar Chowdhury

Professor Simon Jackman

Emeritus Professor Toni Makkai

Professor Ian McAllister

Honorary Professor Darren Pennay

Dr Jill Sheppard

Symposium close

Professor Helen Sullivan, Dean, College of Asia and the Pacific

Schedule

  • 9:30-10:00 Symposium opening and reflections on the 46th Parliament and campaign
  • 10:00-11:00 - Session 1
  • 11:00-11:30 - Morning tea
  • 11:30-12:30 - Session 2
  • 12:30-13:00 - Symposium close and reflections on the 47th Parliament

For more information please visit here.

Date & time

Fri 24 Jun 2022, 9.30am–1pm

Location

Australian Centre on China in the World, Fellows Lane, Australian National University

Speakers

Professor Mark Kenny
Professor Nicholas Biddle
Intifar Chowdhury
Professor Simon Jackman
Emeritus Professor Toni Makkai
Professor Ian McAllister
Honorary Professor Darren Pennay
Dr Jill Sheppard
Professor Helen Sullivan

Contacts

CSRM Admin

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Updated:  16 June 2022/Responsible Officer:  Head of School/Page Contact:  CASS Marketing & Communications